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In the opinion of myself and many others, technical trading is the best way to
trade commodities. I could care less about the news! That’s a bold statement, so let me explain why I say that. By the time you read or hear the news, it’s already happened. You see, you and I are on the bottom of the news chain. If you think otherwise, I’m sorry—you’re wrong! To give you an example, as I was writing this, the price of gold dropped because some countries were “dumping,” or selling off, their gold reserves. There were people who knew this was going to happen beforehand. These people took advantage of this information and sold Gold (went short), because they knew that when these countries started to dump their Gold supply, the price would go down. So, by the time you hear about it on the news, it’s too late to do much about it. However, if you had been watching the charts, you would have seen the price start dropping and could have made a trading decision, based on technical rather than fundamental information. Also, fundamental traders have to be aware of the weather patterns around the world and how they might effect production. They also have to be aware of world “inventory,” and who’s dumping product on the market, etc. It would be a full-time job just to keep up with one commodity, much less with dozens that you might want to keep an eye on. There are times, however, when certain fundamental information can be incorporated into your trading. The study of seasonal patterns is one thing that is not difficult to learn and can prove helpful at times. I have included a section on “Seasonals” in the Reference Section. Now, on the other hand, we have technical analysis. I love the charts! I feel they tell you almost everything you need, once you understand how to read them. You’re going to learn a lot about technical trading in this course, and I hope you can master it. It’s not rocket science, it’s an art— but it’s not as complicated as you might think. |
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